As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.6% in Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? — $9.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -2.8 pts; past month: +2.2 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 49.5% and 98.5%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 94.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.5% |
No is favored at 94.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 94.6% | -0.1 pts | $9.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.4% | +0.1 pts | $9.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 372 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row | Yes | 372 | $20 |
| Physical-Savannah | No | 300 | $284 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 212 | $11 |
| Musty-Almanac | Yes | 106 | $6 |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 103 | $98 |
| Anguished-Province | No | 100 | $95 |
| Moist-Order | No | 89 | $84 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 80 | $4 |
| Miserly-Innovation | Yes | 77 | $4 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy | Yes | 67 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 05:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.7% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 06:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.1% | $27 |
| Oct 16, 06:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.1% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 06:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.8% | $45 |
| Oct 16, 06:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $28 |
| Oct 16, 06:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $28 |
| Oct 16, 06:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $28 |
| Oct 16, 06:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.6%. Next is Yes at 5.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-token-before-2027?via=bro
$9.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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