Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 9.3% in Will Opensea launch a token by ___? — $1.69M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.5K.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
9%
A 9.3% price implies roughly a 9-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.1 pts7D +0.9 pts30D −10.4 pts
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 26, 2026: 7.3% – 95.9% · Opened at 90.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
Category
Pre-Market, Crypto, opensea, token launch
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.69M
Volume (24h)
$2.5K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 9.3%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 9.3%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.1 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -10.4 pts.

Since January 26, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 7.3% and 95.9%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 9.4%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202612.8%
Oct 16, 20267.3%
Oct 18, 20268.6%
Oct 19, 20268.8%
Oct 20, 20268.9%
Oct 23, 20267.7%
Oct 24, 20269.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 9.3%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 20269¢9.3%+2.1 pts$228.0K13.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.69M has been traded on this event in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opensea officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opensea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 18,391 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Odd-CannonYes18,391$1.7K
Subdued-RevenantNo6,133$5.6K
Well-Informed-BakewareNo3,560$3.2K
Numb-VideoYes2,958$277
Dear-InstantNo2,913$2.6K
Kindhearted-BandwidthNo1,854$1.7K
Equal-PossibilityNo1,570$1.4K
Tepid-LenderYes1,471$138
Shocked-PetticoatYes1,288$120
Tragic-EagleNo1,229$1.1K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $905 at 91.4%BUY No — $240 at 92.3%BUY No — $100 at 89.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETNoBUY89.6%$54
Oct 24, 02:36 PM ETNoBUY89.6%$36
Oct 24, 02:27 PM ETNoSELL88.2%$44
Oct 24, 01:55 PM ETNoBUY90.3%$27
Oct 24, 01:17 PM ETNoSELL87.7%$44
Oct 24, 01:17 PM ETNoSELL89.1%$45
Oct 24, 12:47 PM ETNoBUY89.6%$27
Oct 24, 12:47 PM ETNoBUY89.6%$32
Oct 24, 12:47 PM ETNoSELL84.7%$51
Oct 24, 12:47 PM ETNoSELL85.9%$52

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Opensea launch a token by ___??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 9.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-opensea-launch-a-token-by-142?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Opensea launch a token by ___??

$1.69M in total volume, with $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Opensea launch a token by ___? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Opensea launch a token by ___?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 9.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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