As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 60.5% in Will Oro launch a token by ___? — $150.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 60.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.
Since May 21, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 49.5% and 79.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 59.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 59.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 60.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 60¢ | 60.5% | +1.5 pts | $17.3K | 11.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 10¢ | 9.5% | -1.5 pts | $69.6K | 46.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$150.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/orogoldapp
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 132 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torn-Lift | Yes | 132 | $80 |
| Evil-Row | No | 104 | $41 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 93 | $37 |
| True-Highlight | No | 86 | $34 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 86 | $52 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 49 | $30 |
| Irritating-Transparency | Yes | 39 | $24 |
| Energetic-Gasp | No | 30 | $12 |
| Amazing-Pad | No | 20 | $8 |
| 0x8c9f2eb4… | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.6% | $96 |
| Oct 23, 04:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.3% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 05:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 05:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $8 |
| Oct 12, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $11 |
| Oct 06, 09:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 38.0% | $11 |
| Oct 06, 09:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $17 |
| Oct 04, 12:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $3 |
| Oct 04, 12:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $57 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 60.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-oro-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$150.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/orogoldapp.
December 31, 2027, priced at 60.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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