As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 13.3% in Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ? — $330.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 13.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.6 pts; past week: +7.3 pts; past month: +1.3 pts.
Since November 19, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 4.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 12.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 12.8% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 13.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 13¢ | 13.3% | +0.6 pts | $262.3K | 79.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$330.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,356 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unused-Sauerkraut | Yes | 1,356 | $180 |
| Simplistic-Hovel | No | 748 | $649 |
| Dramatic-Entry | Yes | 722 | $96 |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 663 | $575 |
| Mysterious-Chrome | Yes | 586 | $78 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 517 | $69 |
| Threadbare-Stand | No | 486 | $421 |
| Sociable-Ingrate | No | 476 | $413 |
| Empty-Addiction | No | 432 | $375 |
| Burdensome-Armadillo | Yes | 343 | $46 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 12:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.9% | $43 |
| Oct 22, 11:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.3% | $51 |
| Oct 22, 11:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.3% | $51 |
| Oct 22, 11:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.4% | $52 |
| Oct 22, 11:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.5% | $44 |
| Oct 22, 10:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.1% | $36 |
| Oct 22, 10:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.7% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $28 |
| Oct 19, 01:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $15 |
| Oct 13, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.9% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 13.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ostium-launch-a-token-in-2025?via=bro
$330.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 13.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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