As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 71.2% in Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? — $19.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 71.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -5.2 pts; past month: +9.8 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, Yes has traded between 18.0% and 96.8%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 71.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.2% |
Yes is favored at 71.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71¢ | 71.2% | -0.4 pts | $19.0K | 100.0% |
| No | 29¢ | 28.7% | +0.4 pts | $19.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 57¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.
Resolution source: https://fees.pump.fun/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,023 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unkempt-Exploration | Yes | 1,023 | $729 |
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 400 | $115 |
| Graceful-Crowd | No | 303 | $87 |
| Giant-Flugelhorn | Yes | 270 | $192 |
| Kindhearted-Bandwidth | No | 200 | $57 |
| Untidy-Memorial | No | 200 | $57 |
| Ruddy-Star | Yes | 180 | $128 |
| Evil-Row | No | 160 | $46 |
| Silver-Laptop | Yes | 146 | $104 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 145 | $42 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 05:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.6% | $5 |
| Sep 27, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.6% | $40 |
| Sep 27, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $20 |
| Sep 27, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $20 |
| Sep 27, 10:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $20 |
| Sep 27, 10:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.2% | $40 |
| Sep 26, 08:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.2% | $80 |
| Sep 21, 12:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Sep 11, 10:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $67 |
| Sep 01, 05:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 71.2%. Next is No at 28.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31?via=bro
$19.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://fees.pump.fun/.
Yes, priced at 71.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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