As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 53.5% in Will QFEX launch a token by ___? — $70.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -11.0 pts.
Since March 25, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 39.0% and 75.0%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $3.4K | 4.8% |
| September 30, 2027 | 42¢ | 42.5% | — | $17.4K | 24.7% |
| June 30, 2027 | 28¢ | 28.0% | -2.5 pts | $3.3K | 4.6% |
| March 31, 2027 | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $7.3K | 10.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $14.9K | 21.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$70.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/QFEX
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 208 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Criminal-People | No | 208 | $97 |
| Mediocre-Finger | Yes | 138 | $74 |
| Calculating-Sideburns | Yes | 133 | $71 |
| Unwritten-Suite | No | 119 | $55 |
| Authentic-Disposer-Clavicle | Yes | 75 | $40 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 50 | $23 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 35 | $16 |
| Wise-Keyboard | Yes | 35 | $19 |
| Fixed-Eaglet | Yes | 28 | $15 |
| Fuzzy-Draft | Yes | 24 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 05:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.9% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 06:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $48 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 03:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.1% | $29 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 53.5%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 42.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-qfex-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$70.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/QFEX.
December 31, 2027, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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