As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price September 30, 2027 at 51.5% in Will Relay launch a token by ___? — $36.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, September 30, 2027, is priced at 51.5%.
Since May 20, 2026, September 30, 2027 has traded between 39.5% and 51.5%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 51.5%.
September 30, 2027 is favored at 51.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2027 | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| June 30, 2027 | 31¢ | 31.0% | +1.0 pts | $15.8K | 43.9% |
| December 31, 2026 | 4¢ | 4.1% | -0.1 pts | $17.3K | 48.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 85¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$36.0K has been traded on this event in total, $26 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Relay officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Relay will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.3% | $25 |
| Oct 18, 07:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $110 |
| Oct 16, 05:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 12:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $80 |
| Oct 16, 02:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $21 |
| Oct 16, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $230 |
| Oct 16, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $29 |
| Oct 16, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.4% | $457 |
| Oct 16, 01:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is September 30, 2027 at 51.5%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-relay-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$36.0K in total volume, with $26 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
September 30, 2027, priced at 51.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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