As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 98.3% in Will Ritual launch a token by ___? — $29.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 98.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +19.7 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 41.0% and 98.3%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 98.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.3% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 98.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 98¢ | 98.3% | — | $3.5K | 12.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 93¢ | 93.3% | +0.7 pts | $8.5K | 28.9% |
| December 31, 2027 | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| June 30, 2026 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.5K has been traded on this event in total, $160 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ritual officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ritual will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ritual (https://x.com/ritualnet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/ritualnet
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 785 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 785 | $772 |
| Arid-Prey | No | 463 | $8 |
| Joyful-Affiliate | Yes | 341 | $335 |
| Darling-Warlock | No | 226 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 150 | $3 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | No | 92 | $2 |
| Known-Use | No | 79 | $1 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 60 | $1 |
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance | No | 35 | $1 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 32 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.7% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 06:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 06:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.4% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.2% | $185 |
| Oct 21, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.9% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 12:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.3% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 98.3%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 93.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ritual-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$29.5K in total volume, with $160 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/ritualnet.
June 30, 2027, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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