As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.5% in Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? — $54.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since November 13, 2025, No has traded between 80.0% and 98.8%. It opened at 89.0% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.5% |
No is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.5% | — | $54.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $54.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$54.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,210 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Potable-Gator | No | 1,210 | $1.2K |
| Tedious-Accordance | No | 1,035 | $1.0K |
| Dear-Crocus | No | 925 | $902 |
| Sane-Cytokine | Yes | 500 | $12 |
| Starchy-Chem | Yes | 472 | $12 |
| Stunning-Farm | Yes | 433 | $11 |
| 0x7fe96703… | Yes | 417 | $10 |
| Fixed-Volcano | Yes | 300 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 261 | $6 |
| Miserly-Innovation | Yes | 176 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 01:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.8% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 02:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $100 |
| Oct 15, 03:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 03:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 01:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 01:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 01:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 11:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.5%. Next is Yes at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027?via=bro
$54.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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