As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 50.5% in Will RWAs hit $50B by ___? — $10.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 43.0% and 68.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 43.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $57 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 91¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Total RWA Value” shown on rwa.xyz is equal to or greater than $50B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the “Total RWA Value” chart, available at: https://app.rwa.xyz/ A data point on the rwa.xyz chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If rwa.xyz becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pretty-Seaside | Yes | 11 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 6 | $3 |
| Considerate-Rite | No | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 03:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Sep 28, 05:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $10 |
| May 28, 05:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $2 |
| May 28, 04:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $11 |
| May 25, 05:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $1 |
| May 25, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rwas-hit-50b-by-december-31?via=bro
$10.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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