As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 230 at 68.0% in Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above __? — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 230, is priced at 68.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -20.5 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, 230 has traded between 58.5% and 78.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 69.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 69.0% |
230 is favored at 68.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 | 68¢ | 68.0% | -2.5 pts | $2.9K | 40.5% |
| 220 | 62¢ | 62.5% | -30.0 pts | $1.9K | 26.6% |
| 240 | 45¢ | 45.0% | -2.0 pts | $491 | 7.0% |
| 250 | 25¢ | 25.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 20.0% |
| 260 | 19¢ | 19.0% | -6.0 pts | $414 | 5.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 46¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seagate's hard drive exabyte shipments for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 138 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 138 | $94 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 135 | $92 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 80 | $26 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 38 | $12 |
| 0xb28443ed… | No | 20 | $6 |
| Grandiose-Solitaire | No | 18 | $6 |
| Mushy-Godparent | No | 10 | $3 |
| Unkempt-Pill | No | 10 | $3 |
| Everlasting-Gnu-Bloom | No | 10 | $3 |
| Shimmering-Chemotaxis-Longboat | No | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 04:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 07:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $13 |
| Oct 19, 10:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 02:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $12 |
| Oct 18, 09:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.0% | $19 |
| Oct 18, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.4% | $83 |
| Oct 18, 07:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 17, 07:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $22 |
| Oct 17, 07:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $37 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 230 at 68.0%. Next is 220 at 62.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-seagate-stx-q1-hard-drive-exabyte-shipments-be-above-20261008120037000?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
230, priced at 68.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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