As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.0% in Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026? — $225 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.0%.
Since June 10, 2026, No has traded between 54.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 96.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.0% |
No is favored at 96.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.0% | — | $225 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $225 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$225 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spotify officially reports 1 billion or more Total Monthly Active Users in its Q4 2026 earnings report. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 1 billion figure must be explicitly reflected in the "Total Monthly Active Users (MAUs)" figure in Spotify's official Q4 2026 earnings report. This includes both free (ad-supported) and paid (premium) users combined. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Spotify's Q4 2026 earnings report has not been officially published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official investor relations communications (https://investors.spotify.com). This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Resolution source: https://investors.spotify.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 50 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gloomy-Frigate | Yes | 50 | $2 |
| Demanding-City | No | 41 | $39 |
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 33 | $31 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 26 | $1 |
| Bite-Sized-Tortellini-Guitarist | No | 21 | $20 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 12 | $11 |
| Silver-Boxspring | Yes | 11 | $0 |
| Infinite-Vise-Wombat | Yes | 11 | $0 |
| Perky-Call | Yes | 10 | $0 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 08, 10:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $5 |
| Aug 27, 10:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Aug 26, 06:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Aug 25, 07:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $20 |
| Aug 24, 05:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $25 |
| Jul 15, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Jul 15, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Jul 15, 11:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Jun 29, 05:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $2 |
| Jun 15, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.1% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.0%. Next is Yes at 4.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-spotify-reach-1-billion-total-users-in-2026-20260610215643543?via=bro
$225 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://investors.spotify.com.
No, priced at 96.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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