Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.9% in Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026? — $12.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
97%
A 96.9% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.1 pts7D +0.1 pts
No96.9%
Yes3.1%
Bid
2¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 09, 2026: 86.0% – 97.9% · Opened at 86.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Category
Economy, Finance, acquire, Starbucks, Acquisitions
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$12.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$702
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 96.9%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.1 pts.

Since October 09, 2026, No has traded between 86.0% and 97.9%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 97.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.5%
Oct 17, 202697.5%
Oct 18, 202697.0%
Oct 19, 202696.9%
Oct 20, 202697.0%
Oct 22, 202696.9%
Oct 23, 202697.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 96.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No97¢96.9%-0.1 pts$12.1K100.0%
Yes3¢3.1%+0.1 pts$12.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$12.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Chipotle Mexican Grill will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Starbucks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,352 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Cheery-PreparationNo1,352$1.3K
Crazy-FishmongerYes1,296$40
Belated-GlueYes534$17
Sudden-BreakpointNo519$503
Giddy-AirmanNo350$339
Legitimate-AirmanNo296$287
Gleaming-HandlebarYes182$6
Known-UseYes162$5
Gorgeous-HullYes128$4
Sturdy-ThrushNo102$99

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.3K at 96.0%BUY No — $100 at 97.9%SELL No — $96 at 95.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 19, 06:11 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$0
Oct 19, 12:39 AM ETYesSELL2.1%$0
Oct 18, 03:00 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 17, 08:33 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 17, 04:08 PM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 15, 09:20 AM ETNoSELL96.2%$12
Oct 14, 05:57 PM ETNoSELL96.2%$10
Oct 14, 10:04 AM ETYesSELL2.1%$1
Oct 14, 09:04 AM ETYesSELL2.2%$0
Oct 13, 09:56 PM ETYesBUY3.9%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.9%. Next is Yes at 3.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-starbucks-acquire-chipotle-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026??

$12.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 96.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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