As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.7% in Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? — $95.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.3 pts; past month: -1.4 pts.
Since February 24, 2026, No has traded between 35.9% and 96.9%. It opened at 72.0% and last traded at 96.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
No is favored at 96.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.7% | -0.1 pts | $95.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.3% | +0.1 pts | $95.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$95.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,665 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 2,665 | $2.6K |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 556 | $18 |
| Blissful-Login | Yes | 497 | $16 |
| Immediate-Fright | No | 350 | $339 |
| Lumpy-Strip | No | 347 | $336 |
| Glittering-Laparoscope | No | 329 | $318 |
| Humble-Tweezers | Yes | 321 | $11 |
| 0x8c072385… | Yes | 313 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 281 | $9 |
| Modern-Malice | Yes | 260 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 09:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 10:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 19, 07:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 08:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 08:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $59 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 04:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.7% | $51 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.7%. Next is Yes at 3.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-stripe-acquire-paypal-in-2026?via=bro
$95.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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