As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 51.5% in Will Surf launch a token by ___? — $36.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 51.5%.
Since May 20, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 39.5% and 51.5%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 51.5%.
March 31, 2027 is favored at 51.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 38¢ | 37.5% | -0.5 pts | $18.3K | 49.8% |
| June 30, 2027 | 36¢ | 36.5% | -0.5 pts | $7.8K | 21.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 85¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$36.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 44.5% | $27 |
| Oct 23, 01:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 01:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 08:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 02:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $34 |
| Oct 21, 10:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $33 |
| Oct 21, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $40 |
| Oct 21, 03:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.5% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 02:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 51.5%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-surf-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$36.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
March 31, 2027, priced at 51.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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