As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 0.4% in Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...? — $40.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 0.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.6 pts; past week: -16.1 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, October 31 has traded between 0.4% and 26.5%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 0.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 20.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 0.4% |
October 31 is favored at 0.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 0¢ | 0.4% | -2.6 pts | $35.3K | 86.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 0¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$40.9K has been traded on this event in total, $219 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,651 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Appropriate-Outlook-Thanks | No | 1,651 | $1.6K |
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 833 | $4 |
| Pure-Threat | No | 800 | $796 |
| Flippant-Speech | No | 706 | $702 |
| Lean-Pantyhose | Yes | 567 | $3 |
| Small-Fellow-Mandolin | Yes | 481 | $2 |
| Shocked-Stadium | Yes | 352 | $2 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | Yes | 278 | $1 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 255 | $1 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 250 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $50 |
| Oct 23, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 0.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-talarico-and-paxton-debate-live-by-october-15?via=bro
$40.9K in total volume, with $219 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 0.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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