As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.1% in Will Tarik have a boxing fight with FNS in 2026? — $904 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -38.6 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, No has traded between 48.5% and 96.9%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 89.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.2% |
No is favored at 89.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89¢ | 89.1% | — | $904 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 11¢ | 10.8% | — | $904 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$904 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Tarik "tarik" Celik and Pujan "FNS" Mehta compete against each other in a combat-sports bout that physically takes place at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A qualifying bout is any publicly held combat-sports match — boxing, kickboxing, MMA, or any professional, amateur, or exhibition influencer/creator format — in which the two face each other as opponents, meeting all of the following: Organized and promoted: it appears on a fight card or event listing published in advance by a promoter or organizer (not an impromptu confrontation). Officiated: it is conducted under a recognized combat-sports ruleset with at least one neutral referee and defined timed rounds. Contested: both participants compete as opponents and the outcome is decided by the competition itself (decision, stoppage, knockout, submission, or disqualification), not pre-arranged. A scripted or predetermined result (as in pro wrestling or a skit) does not qualify. Documented: an official result is reported by an established combat-sports/esports outlet or the promoter's official broadcast. If no such boxing match between the two takes place on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET — including if it is announced but cancelled, postponed into 2027, or never scheduled — this market will resolve "No". … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 104 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flaky-Provision | No | 104 | $93 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 50 | $5 |
| Motherly-Parliament-Lament | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Jam-Packed-Fingerling | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Known-Use | No | 15 | $13 |
| That-Trance | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| General-Robin | Yes | 4 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 06, 12:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.9% | $38 |
| Oct 05, 01:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 05, 12:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $16 |
| Sep 19, 07:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $25 |
| Aug 28, 11:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $18 |
| Jul 09, 06:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Jul 07, 07:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $44 |
| Jul 07, 07:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Jul 04, 06:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $4 |
| Jul 03, 10:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.1%. Next is Yes at 10.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tarik-have-a-boxing-fight-with-fns-in-2026-20260630175008083?via=bro
$904 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 89.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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