Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 72.0% in Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31? — $7.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $83.
Leading outcome
No
72%
A 72.0% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +16.4 pts30D +19.9 pts
No72.0%
Yes28.0%
Bid
10¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
36¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 28, 2026: 41.0% – 95.5% · Opened at 41.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?
Category
CS2, Sports, Esports, Roster changes, counter strike 2
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.5K
Volume (24h)
$83
Liquidity
$229
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 72.0%
Resolution source
https://www.hltv.org/team/11283/falcons#tab-rosterBox

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 72.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +16.4 pts; past month: +19.9 pts.

Since August 28, 2026, No has traded between 41.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 88.4%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202670.6%
Oct 16, 202670.7%
Oct 18, 202678.5%
Oct 19, 202676.8%
Oct 20, 202679.1%
Oct 22, 202688.3%
Oct 23, 202688.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 72.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No72¢72.0%-16.4 pts$7.5K100.0%
Yes28¢28.0%+16.4 pts$7.5K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 36¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 46¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.5K has been traded on this event in total, $83 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Falcons's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Falcons" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11283/falcons#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: NiKo, TeSeS, m0NESY, kyousuke, karrigan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/11283/falcons#tab-rosterBox

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 499 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Mild-Modernist-GogglesNo499$360
Wrong-ReparationYes434$121
Angelic-CrawNo206$149
Belated-GlueYes183$51
Limited-SpokesmanNo77$55
Thrifty-DecreaseYes69$19
Corrupt-StomachNo62$45
Cool-PattypanYes57$16
Lumbering-PropaneYes30$8
Grim-GarageYes23$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $59 at 86.2%SELL No — $48 at 63.8%SELL No — $39 at 86.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:34 PM ETYesSELL10.0%$3
Oct 24, 12:17 AM ETNoSELL82.7%$4
Oct 24, 12:17 AM ETNoSELL86.2%$39
Oct 23, 10:52 PM ETYesSELL11.7%$0
Oct 22, 01:20 PM ETYesBUY17.3%$2
Oct 22, 10:39 AM ETNoSELL82.7%$10
Oct 22, 08:20 AM ETYesSELL6.4%$4
Oct 21, 09:59 PM ETNoBUY76.0%$15
Oct 20, 07:17 AM ETNoBUY80.5%$25
Oct 17, 04:24 PM ETNoSELL83.3%$17

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 72.0%. Next is Yes at 28.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-team-falcons-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31??

$7.5K in total volume, with $83 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.hltv.org/team/11283/falcons#tab-rosterBox.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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