As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.5% in Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? — $32.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +6.0 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since December 04, 2025, No has traded between 65.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
No is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.5% | — | $32.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $32.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$32.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region. Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify. The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count. Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 364 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slippery-Doll | No | 364 | $322 |
| Tepid-Catsup | No | 309 | $274 |
| Timely-Bribery | Yes | 285 | $33 |
| Darling-Top | No | 243 | $215 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 130 | $15 |
| Separate-Overweight | Yes | 100 | $12 |
| Delayed-Seashore | Yes | 83 | $10 |
| Gregarious-Eel | No | 79 | $70 |
| Judicious-Essential | Yes | 65 | $7 |
| Thankful-Wifi | Yes | 60 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 06:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 12:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.3% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 05:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 15, 09:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 11:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $31 |
| Oct 09, 10:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 10:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.5%. Next is Yes at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-open-orders-for-the-robovan-before-2027?via=bro
$32.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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