As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price April 30, 2027 at 34.5% in Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, April 30, 2027, is priced at 34.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, April 30, 2027 has traded between 33.0% and 36.5%. It opened at 36.5% and last traded at 34.5%.
April 30, 2027 is favored at 34.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30, 2027 | 34¢ | 34.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 69.6% |
| December 31, 2026 | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.5 pts | $776 | 30.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $224 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any live, in-person demonstration or event held by Tesla, a version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present performs any maneuver in which the vehicle is in motion and its cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or other similar onboard propulsion or ground-sealing system are activated and in use, in any capacity, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The vehicle does not need to become airborne, reach any particular speed, or achieve any specific outcome for this market to resolve "Yes" — any live use of the cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or similar system while the car is moving (e.g., to jump, spin, hover, lift, drift, or otherwise maneuver) qualifies, regardless of how minor or brief. The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including any official Tesla livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live demonstration met the conditions above.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weird-Freedom | No | 250 | $164 |
| Little-Yoga-Swine | Yes | 192 | $66 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 129 | $85 |
| Anchored-Leprosy | No | 100 | $66 |
| Yummy-Winter | Yes | 100 | $34 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 46 | $16 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 46 | $16 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 32 | $11 |
| Mundane-Comradeship | Yes | 30 | $10 |
| Firsthand-Swimming-Hash | Yes | 25 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.3% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.2% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 07:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is April 30, 2027 at 34.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-perform-another-live-stunt-with-the-roadster-by?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $224 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
April 30, 2027, priced at 34.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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