As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 57.0% in Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings? — $457 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +19.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 52.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 58.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.0% |
No is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 57¢ | 57.0% | — | $457 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 43¢ | 43.0% | — | $457 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 44¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$457 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 05, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, Texas Roadhouse is estimated to release earnings on November 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Roadhouse's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.52 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Roadhouse reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.52 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Texas Roadhouse releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TXRH/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | No | 60 | $34 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 40 | $17 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| 0x44be4eed… | No | 19 | $11 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 19 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 09:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $26 |
| Oct 17, 09:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 09:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $32 |
| Oct 17, 02:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 09:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 04:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $10 |
| Oct 16, 03:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $8 |
| Oct 16, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.6% | $50 |
| Oct 16, 01:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 16, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.9% | $67 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 57.0%. Next is Yes at 43.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-texas-roadhouse-txrh-beat-quarterly-earnings?via=bro
$457 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 05, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TXRH/earnings.
No, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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