As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 70.5% in Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? — $5.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 70.5%.
Since February 17, 2026, No has traded between 59.0% and 79.5%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 70.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.5% |
No is favored at 70.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 70¢ | 70.5% | — | $5.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $5.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 34¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 259 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia | Yes | 259 | $76 |
| Kooky-Certification | No | 158 | $112 |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 153 | $108 |
| Flamboyant-Boogeyman | Yes | 139 | $41 |
| RegThinks | No | 109 | $77 |
| Evil-Row | No | 99 | $70 |
| Functional-Heartthrob | No | 93 | $65 |
| Uncomfortable-Special | Yes | 74 | $22 |
| Amazing-Pad | Yes | 52 | $15 |
| Fuzzy-Expectancy | Yes | 45 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 01:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 11:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 06:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 06:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 03:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 07:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 04:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 04:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 09, 04:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $15 |
| Oct 09, 04:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 70.5%. Next is Yes at 29.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nominee-be-a-woman?via=bro
$5.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 70.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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