As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.2% in Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? — $4.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.2 pts; past month: +1.9 pts.
Since February 17, 2026, No has traded between 58.5% and 99.7%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 96.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.2% |
No is favored at 96.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.2% | — | $4.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.8% | — | $4.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 515 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Square-Crystal | No | 515 | $495 |
| Sardonic-Cue | Yes | 459 | $17 |
| Loathsome-Ox | No | 356 | $343 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 166 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 80 | $3 |
| 0xf040b361… | No | 77 | $74 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 64 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 51 | $2 |
| Breakable-Sprout | Yes | 43 | $2 |
| 0xf9b19d90… | Yes | 30 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 08:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $4 |
| Oct 08, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 06, 07:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Sep 22, 09:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 05:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Sep 13, 09:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Sep 13, 09:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Sep 13, 12:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $50 |
| Sep 13, 12:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $55 |
| Sep 12, 11:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $69 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.2%. Next is Yes at 3.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-2028-republican-presidential-nominee-be-a-woman?via=bro
$4.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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