As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? — $3.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.
Since April 20, 2026, No has traded between 23.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.5% |
No is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $3.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $3.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart. The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Resolution source: https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,259 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Grey | Yes | 1,259 | $82 |
| Buoyant-Friendship | No | 405 | $379 |
| Separate-Conga | No | 390 | $365 |
| Zany-Tapioca | No | 251 | $235 |
| Taut-Sled | No | 230 | $215 |
| Small-Pompom | No | 179 | $168 |
| Kindhearted-Bandwidth | Yes | 100 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 57 | $4 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 55 | $4 |
| Leading-Tomorrow-Cloud | No | 52 | $48 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 05:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.7% | $380 |
| Sep 13, 03:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Sep 11, 10:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $198 |
| Sep 11, 12:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $9 |
| Sep 10, 09:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $14 |
| Sep 08, 12:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
| Sep 06, 07:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $20 |
| Sep 06, 05:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $91 |
| Sep 06, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $45 |
| Aug 25, 06:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.7% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-aave-tvl-go-below-10b-in-2026?via=bro
$3.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/.
No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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