As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 6% at 64.5% in Will the Aave USDC yield hit ___ in 2026? — $250 traded so far.
The leading outcome, 6%, is priced at 64.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +13.0 pts.
Since September 07, 2026, 6% has traded between 50.0% and 73.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 64.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.5% |
6% is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6% | 64¢ | 64.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 8% | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 10% | 40¢ | 40.5% | +0.5 pts | $250 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 61¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$250 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any finalized daily supply APY datapoint for the Aave V3 USDC pool reported by DefiLlama is equal to or greater than the listed value for any date between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The APY value used for resolution is the "Daily" series displayed on the Supply APY chart, as shown by the "Total APY" figure when hovering over a datapoint. The pool referenced in this market is the USDC pool on Aave V3 on Ethereum mainnet, as identified by the resolution source URL below. A daily datapoint must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next day's datapoint is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure is finalized, or once the datapoint for December 31, 2026 is finalized without the listed value having been met. If any data remains unpublished or unfinalized 2 calendar days (ET) after December 31, 2026 — for any reason, including unavailability of the resolution source — this market will resolve to "No". No substitute data source will be used. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://defillama.com/yields/pool/aa70268e-4b52-42bf-a116-608b370f9501
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 07:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.8% | $197 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is 6% at 64.5%. Next is 8% at 48.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-aave-usdc-yield-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$250 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://defillama.com/yields/pool/aa70268e-4b52-42bf-a116-608b370f9501.
6%, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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