As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 8.1% in Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? — $562.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 8.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +1.1 pts.
Since January 02, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 3.5% and 59.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 8.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 7.8% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 7.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 8.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.1% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 8.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 8¢ | 8.1% | -0.1 pts | $7.7K | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$562.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 783 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unwelcome-Resolve | Yes | 783 | $63 |
| Sinful-Parsnip | No | 618 | $567 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 390 | $359 |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 128 | $10 |
| Belgaron | No | 126 | $116 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 96 | $8 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 93 | $8 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 91 | $7 |
| Improbable-Responsibility | Yes | 90 | $7 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | No | 51 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.4% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 07:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.8% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 08:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 07:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.8% | $32 |
| Oct 12, 08:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.5% | $116 |
| Oct 12, 06:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 06:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.1% | $3 |
| Oct 11, 11:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.1% | $105 |
| Oct 11, 11:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.3% | $75 |
| Oct 11, 10:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.6% | $99 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 8.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster?via=bro
$562.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 8.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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