As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 42.0% in Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...? — $18.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 42.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +20.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, December 31 has traded between 11.5% and 65.5%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 42.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 42.0% |
December 31 is favored at 42.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 42¢ | 42.0% | +0.5 pts | $13.6K | 74.7% |
| October 31 | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.1 pts | $631 | 3.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 204 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 204 | $118 |
| Wry-Meatloaf | Yes | 192 | $81 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 100 | $42 |
| Evil-Row | No | 84 | $49 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 77 | $32 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 66 | $38 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $17 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 40 | $23 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 28 | $16 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $11 |
| Oct 20, 12:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 08:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 02:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 01:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 01:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 12:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.8% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 42.0%. Next is October 31 at 4.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-house-pass-another-reconciliation-bill-byptptpt-20260626182351992?via=bro
$18.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 42.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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