As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 56.0% in Will the Knesset pass the "Defendant Law" by January 31, 2027? — $259 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +13.0 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, No has traded between 50.5% and 55.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 55.5%.
No is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56¢ | 56.0% | -13.0 pts | $259 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 44¢ | 44.0% | +13.0 pts | $259 | 100.0% |
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The leading market's spread is 54¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$259 has been traded on this event in total, $36 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset passes, in its third reading, a law prohibiting an individual who has been indicted for a criminal offense from being tasked with forming a government or from serving as Prime Minister (commonly referred to as the "Defendant Law") between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law containing this prohibition will qualify, regardless of its title, bill number, whether it amends a Basic Law or another law, or whether it results from a replacement bill, a split bill, or a broader legislative package. The specific offenses covered and any other provisions will not affect resolution, provided this prohibition is included in the passed law. A law that does not contain this prohibition will not qualify. Passage in the third reading in the Knesset plenum is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Publication in the official gazette (Reshumot), the law's entry into force, and the outcome of any court challenge are not required and will have no bearing on this market. Approval in a preliminary, first, or second reading, or committee decisions, will not qualify unless the law is subsequently passed in its third reading within this market's timeframe. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 53 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 53 | $29 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 22 | $10 |
| Unkempt-Therapist-Mosquito | Yes | 21 | $9 |
| Muted-Accuracy | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 16 | $9 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 04:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.2% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 53.5% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $40 |
| Oct 20, 04:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $11 |
| Oct 20, 11:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 56.0%. Next is Yes at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-knesset-pass-the-defendant-law-by-january-31-2027-20261019143631755?via=bro
$259 in total volume, with $36 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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