As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 50.0% in Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? — $2.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -7.0 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since March 02, 2026, Yes has traded between 7.5% and 65.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
Yes is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
| No | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.mo.gov
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 253 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demanding-City | Yes | 253 | $127 |
| Chubby-Prior | No | 164 | $82 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 109 | $54 |
| Known-Use | No | 62 | $31 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 54 | $27 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | No | 52 | $26 |
| Enraged-Toad | No | 51 | $25 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | No | 50 | $25 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 46 | $23 |
| Sandy-Material | Yes | 44 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 09:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 08:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 03:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 50.0%. Next is No at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-missouri-abortion-sex-change-for-minors-ban-pass?via=bro
$2.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.mo.gov.
Yes, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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