Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 99.0% in Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? — $958 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
99%
A 99.0% price implies roughly a 99-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.1 pts30D +0.1 pts
Yes99.0%
No1.1%
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since March 02, 2026: 48.5% – 99.8% · Opened at 48.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Category
Politics, Midterms, referendum, Elections, constitution, US Election, question 6, referendums midterms
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$958
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$15.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 99.0%
Resolution source
https://www.nvsos.gov

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 99.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.

Since March 02, 2026, Yes has traded between 48.5% and 99.8%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 99.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202699.0%
Oct 18, 202699.0%
Oct 19, 202699.0%
Oct 20, 202699.0%
Oct 22, 202699.0%
Oct 23, 202699.0%
Oct 24, 202699.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 99.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes99¢99.0%—$958100.0%
No1¢1.1%—$958100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$958 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).

Resolution source: https://www.nvsos.gov

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 168 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Kind-QuinoaYes168$166
Mortified-WetlandNo160$2
Belated-GlueNo57$1
Sociable-RoosterYes44$43
0x4548adb2…Yes15$15
Warmhearted-DepartmentYes11$11
Dense-WhipNo8$0
Gloomy-FrigateNo8$0
Snappy-RoosterNo6$0
Sharp-LandformNo5$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $60 at 87.1%SELL Yes — $49 at 98.1%SELL Yes — $44 at 97.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Sep 17, 04:13 PM ETNoBUY0.2%$0
Sep 06, 02:39 AM ETYesSELL98.1%$49
Sep 05, 08:23 PM ETNoBUY0.7%$0
Sep 05, 01:11 PM ETNoSELL0.5%$0
Sep 03, 08:13 PM ETYesSELL96.9%$2
Aug 26, 11:56 AM ETNoSELL0.6%$0
Aug 16, 10:10 PM ETYesSELL89.9%$12
Aug 16, 11:41 AM ETYesSELL97.8%$44
Aug 12, 10:06 AM ETYesSELL96.9%$19
Aug 10, 01:07 PM ETNoSELL12.2%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 99.0%. Next is No at 1.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-nevada-abortion-protection-amendment-pass?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass??

$958 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nvsos.gov.

What is the most likely outcome of Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

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⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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