As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.5% in Will the next elected US president be a woman? — $16.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since February 17, 2026, No has traded between 62.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 80.5% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.5% |
No is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 79.5% | +1.0 pts | $16.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.5% | -1.0 pts | $16.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 689 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uncomfortable-Special | Yes | 689 | $141 |
| 0xdd583967… | Yes | 484 | $99 |
| Rare-Fir | No | 373 | $297 |
| Gifted-Ellipse | No | 357 | $284 |
| Dishonest-Ziggurat | No | 347 | $276 |
| Impressive-Campaign | No | 331 | $264 |
| Gummy-Colonization | No | 255 | $203 |
| Peppery-Capital | Yes | 253 | $52 |
| Starchy-Watcher | No | 216 | $172 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 202 | $41 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 04:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 03:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 01:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 02:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $51 |
| Oct 18, 02:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $48 |
| Oct 18, 05:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.5%. Next is Yes at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-next-elected-us-president-be-a-woman?via=bro
$16.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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