As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 63.5% in Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? — $20.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 63.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -6.0 pts; past month: +25.0 pts.
Since May 21, 2026, Yes has traded between 9.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 23.0% and last traded at 63.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 63.5% |
Yes is favored at 63.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64¢ | 63.5% | — | $20.8K | 100.0% |
| No | 36¢ | 36.5% | — | $20.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,623 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy-Sweatshop | Yes | 1,623 | $1.0K |
| Close-Dogwood | No | 785 | $287 |
| Enormous-Fluke | No | 700 | $255 |
| Unnatural-Reputation | No | 537 | $196 |
| Upbeat-Sky | Yes | 511 | $324 |
| Necessary-Mortgage | Yes | 359 | $228 |
| Prestigious-Map | Yes | 257 | $163 |
| Reliable-Armament | Yes | 248 | $158 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 210 | $77 |
| Royal-Activation | No | 207 | $76 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 12:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 07:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 04:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $51 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.0% | $32 |
| Oct 21, 01:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $17 |
| Oct 21, 12:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 12:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.7% | $83 |
| Oct 21, 12:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 09:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 63.5%. Next is No at 36.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-philippine-senate-convict-sara-duterte?via=bro
$20.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 63.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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