As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 23.0% in Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...? — $6.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 23.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -8.5 pts; past month: -20.0 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, December 31 has traded between 13.5% and 55.5%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 23.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 23.0% |
December 31 is favored at 23.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 23¢ | 23.0% | — | $4.0K | 58.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 24¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.9K has been traded on this event in total, $91 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 384 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 384 | $88 |
| Radiant-Tab | No | 331 | $255 |
| Pointless-Gavel | No | 87 | $67 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 60 | $14 |
| Functional-Heartthrob | No | 46 | $36 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 45 | $34 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $9 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 38 | $9 |
| mskl | No | 29 | $22 |
| Creamy-Geology | Yes | 20 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 05:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 10:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 10:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 12:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 23.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-senate-pass-another-reconciliation-bill-byptptpt-20260626182134623?via=bro
$6.9K in total volume, with $91 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 23.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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