As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 68.5% in Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026? — $1.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 68.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.0 pts; past week: +10.5 pts; past month: +13.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 68.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 68.5% |
No is favored at 68.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 68¢ | 68.5% | -10.0 pts | $1.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 32¢ | 31.5% | +10.0 pts | $1.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once. This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 282 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Puppet | No | 282 | $193 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 274 | $86 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | Yes | 57 | $18 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 50 | $34 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 20 | $6 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | Yes | 20 | $6 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 20 | $14 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 20 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 05:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 11, 01:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 09, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $21 |
| Oct 09, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 09, 10:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $43 |
| Oct 08, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 07, 04:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $20 |
| Oct 07, 09:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 07, 09:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 07, 09:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 68.5%. Next is Yes at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tfff-reach-10-billion-in-2026?via=bro
$1.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker.
No, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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