As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.5% in UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? — $285.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since June 23, 2026, No has traded between 44.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 90.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.5% |
No is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 90.5% | — | $285.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $285.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$285.4K has been traded on this event in total, $290 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,492 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Selfish-Automaton | No | 13,492 | $12.2K |
| Grumpy-Urn | Yes | 12,410 | $1.2K |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 10,733 | $1.0K |
| Steep-Visa | No | 6,096 | $5.5K |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 5,745 | $5.2K |
| Bleak-Full | No | 3,906 | $3.5K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 2,857 | $2.6K |
| Detailed-Lip | Yes | 2,852 | $271 |
| Wordy-Duel | Yes | 2,374 | $226 |
| Mammoth-Payment | Yes | 1,629 | $155 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $261 |
| Oct 23, 02:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 12:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 12:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $154 |
| Oct 21, 02:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $96 |
| Oct 21, 02:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 02:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $28 |
| Oct 21, 02:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $90 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.5%. Next is Yes at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date?via=bro
$285.4K in total volume, with $290 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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