As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 91.0% in Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 91.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since March 02, 2026, Yes has traded between 49.5% and 91.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.0% |
Yes is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91¢ | 91.0% | +0.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 9¢ | 9.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Resolution source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 500 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forthright-Forager | Yes | 500 | $455 |
| Tangible-Fuel | No | 411 | $37 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 237 | $215 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 125 | $11 |
| Gullible-Smell | No | 120 | $11 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 88 | $8 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 62 | $6 |
| Rubbery-Policy | Yes | 58 | $53 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 50 | $4 |
| Assured-Journal | Yes | 44 | $40 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 11:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $24 |
| Oct 21, 11:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 11:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 11:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $455 |
| Oct 21, 11:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $34 |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $7 |
| Oct 03, 05:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 05:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
| Oct 03, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 91.0%. Next is No at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-virginia-abortion-protection-amendment-pass?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/.
Yes, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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