As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.8% in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23? — $768 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -45.2 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 99.8%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 99.8%.
No is favored at 99.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 100¢ | 99.8% | +45.2 pts | $768 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 0¢ | 0.2% | -45.2 pts | $768 | 100.0% |
$768 has been traded on this event in total, $85 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 220 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 220 | $219 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 147 | $0 |
| Grubby-Chandelier | No | 93 | $93 |
| Lean-Trolley | No | 80 | $80 |
| Bowed-Bobcat | Yes | 73 | $0 |
| Fearless-Aggression | No | 52 | $52 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 50 | $0 |
| Nonstop-Knitting | Yes | 50 | $0 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | Yes | 40 | $0 |
| Voluminous-Lava | Yes | 20 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $80 |
| Oct 24, 04:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 06:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $92 |
| Oct 23, 06:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.7% | $66 |
| Oct 23, 06:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 12:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 09:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 09:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 07:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.8%. Next is Yes at 0.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-october-23-2026?via=bro
$768 in total volume, with $85 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.8% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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