As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.1% in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24? — $417 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.1%.
Since October 22, 2026, No has traded between 95.5% and 97.1%. It opened at 95.5% and last traded at 97.1%.
No is favored at 97.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.1% | — | $417 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $417 | 100.0% |
$417 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 382 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Key-Sovereignty | No | 382 | $371 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 200 | $6 |
| Probable-Moon-Lawyer | Yes | 68 | $2 |
| Nonstop-Knitting | Yes | 50 | $1 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Overcooked-Singing | No | 20 | $20 |
| Voluminous-Lava | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Writhing-Retention | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| 0x715728b2… | No | 15 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 10:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 04:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $100 |
| Oct 21, 11:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 11:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 11:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $138 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.1%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-october-24-2026?via=bro
$417 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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