As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.3% in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 25? — $712 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, No has traded between 96.0% and 96.3%. It opened at 96.0% and last traded at 96.3%.
No is favored at 96.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.3% | +0.3 pts | $712 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.7% | -0.3 pts | $712 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$712 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 379 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Aggression | No | 379 | $365 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 150 | $6 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 48 | $2 |
| Calculating-Sideburns | Yes | 40 | $1 |
| Adorable-Cat | Yes | 33 | $1 |
| 0x46299616… | Yes | 30 | $1 |
| Grumpy-Invader | Yes | 24 | $1 |
| Overcooked-Singing | No | 21 | $20 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 10:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 10:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 09:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.7% | $279 |
| Oct 22, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.3%. Next is Yes at 3.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-october-25-2026?via=bro
$712 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.3% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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