Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.0% in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26? — $100 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
93%
A 93.0% price implies roughly a 93-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts
No93.0%
Yes7.0%
Bid
6¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 23, 2026: 93.0% – 94.5% · Opened at 94.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26?
Category
Lid, Trump, Politics, Recurring, Trump Daily
Scheduled end
October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$100
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.3K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 93.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, No has traded between 93.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 93.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 93.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No93¢93.0%-1.5 pts$100100.0%
Yes7¢7.0%+1.5 pts$100100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$100 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes100$7
Defiant-GamebirdNo100$93

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $95 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 07:17 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$95

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.0%. Next is Yes at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-october-26-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26??

$100 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 26?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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