As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.3% in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 27? — $789 traded so far.
No is favored at 95.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.3% | — | $789 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $789 | 100.0% |
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The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$789 has been traded on this event in total, $789 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 410 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Aggression | No | 410 | $391 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 150 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 123 | $6 |
| Grumpy-Invader | Yes | 77 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 60 | $3 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 21 | $1 |
| Overcooked-Singing | No | 21 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 07:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.3%. Next is Yes at 4.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-october-27-2026?via=bro
$789 in total volume, with $789 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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