As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 51.5% in Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner? — $500 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 51.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -20.5 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Yes has traded between 45.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 51.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.5% |
Yes is favored at 51.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52¢ | 51.5% | -20.5 pts | $500 | 100.0% |
| No | 48¢ | 48.5% | +20.5 pts | $500 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$500 has been traded on this event in total, $500 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the team that wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, has never won the League of Legends World Championship before. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team is a previous Worlds winner if its organization won any League of Legends World Championship from 2011 to 2025, including under a previous name. Among the teams in the Worlds 2026 field, the previous winners are T1 (2013, 2015, and 2016 as SK Telecom T1; 2023, 2024, and 2025 as T1), Gen.G (2017 as Samsung Galaxy), Dplus KIA (2020 as DAMWON Gaming), and Invictus Gaming (2018). If any of these four teams wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "No". If any other team wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Previous titles won by individual players do not matter. If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: https://lolesports.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 500 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Alb | Yes | 500 | $258 |
| Enchanting-Handful | No | 500 | $242 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $250 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 51.5%. Next is No at 48.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-worlds-2026-champion-be-a-first-time-worlds-winner?via=bro
$500 in total volume, with $500 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://lolesports.com.
Yes, priced at 51.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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