As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 26.1% in Will Theo launch a token by ___ ? — $275.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 26.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -8.5 pts; past month: -12.1 pts.
Since November 26, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 25.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 36.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 48.4% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 34.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 25.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 36.9% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 26.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 26¢ | 26.1% | -3.0 pts | $28.8K | 10.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$275.9K has been traded on this event in total, $421 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/Theo_Network
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,108 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Hardboard | Yes | 4,108 | $1.1K |
| Grandiose-Mansard-Caption | Yes | 3,872 | $1.0K |
| 0x51b5a0c12bf89886c79723a0a5cec00404772ef4 | No | 2,076 | $1.5K |
| Candid-Lighting | No | 1,998 | $1.5K |
| Superb-Crop | Yes | 1,522 | $396 |
| Excellent-Hiccups | No | 1,271 | $940 |
| Glamorous-Visor | No | 1,141 | $844 |
| Overcooked-Scrutiny | Yes | 900 | $234 |
| Belated-Meringue | No | 675 | $499 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage | No | 419 | $310 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $53 |
| Oct 24, 03:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.5% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 03:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 66.5% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 03:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.6% | $52 |
| Oct 22, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.8% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $32 |
| Oct 22, 11:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.5% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.1% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 06:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.3% | $50 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 26.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-theo-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$275.9K in total volume, with $421 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/Theo_Network.
December 31, 2026, priced at 26.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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