As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 1.9% in Will Tim Walz resign by...? — $2.59M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 1.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, December 31 has traded between 1.9% and 51.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 1.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 1.9% |
December 31 is favored at 1.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $69.9K | 2.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.59M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,098 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label | No | 13,098 | $12.8K |
| Tart-Gelding | Yes | 5,000 | $98 |
| Expensive-Struggle | Yes | 3,786 | $74 |
| Wooden-Prescription | No | 1,000 | $980 |
| Our-Dough | Yes | 972 | $19 |
| Spotted-Chasuble | Yes | 811 | $16 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 650 | $13 |
| Fabulous-Total | Yes | 565 | $11 |
| Welcome-Finish | Yes | 514 | $10 |
| Cylindrical-Buffer | Yes | 500 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 03:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1.3K |
| Oct 20, 08:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 02:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 02:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $11 |
| Oct 15, 02:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 02:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $9 |
| Oct 14, 12:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 03:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 1.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tim-walz-resign-by?via=bro
$2.59M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 1.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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