As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 70.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 92.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 92.0% |
No is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.0% | — | $2.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $2.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 21, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Holland receives an Oscar nomination during the official nominations announcement, expected on January 21, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the nominations are partially announced by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to whether Tom Holland has been nominated up until that point. If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and the Oscars; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 897 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Picket | No | 897 | $825 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 680 | $54 |
| Rotten-Watch-Short | No | 223 | $206 |
| Trifling-Blood-Tradition | Yes | 200 | $16 |
| Calculating-Hops | Yes | 71 | $6 |
| Definitive-Anticodon | Yes | 71 | $6 |
| Dim-Crumb | No | 63 | $58 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 60 | $5 |
| Stimulating-Milepost | Yes | 30 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 21 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.6% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 04:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 04:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $26 |
| Oct 18, 06:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 10:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 11:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 10:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 10, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $8 |
| Oct 09, 03:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tom-holland-receive-an-oscar-nomination?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 21, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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