As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 78.5% in Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? — $113.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 78.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +9.0 pts.
Since March 19, 2026, Yes has traded between 48.5% and 78.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 78.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.5% |
Yes is favored at 78.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78¢ | 78.5% | — | $113.0K | 100.0% |
| No | 22¢ | 21.5% | — | $113.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$113.0K has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 20, 2029, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 15,404 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emotional-Surface | Yes | 15,404 | $12.1K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 12,237 | $9.6K |
| Prickly-Offense | No | 6,608 | $1.4K |
| Motherly-Replacement | No | 4,159 | $894 |
| Stunning-Headquarters | No | 3,546 | $762 |
| Perky-Test | No | 2,480 | $533 |
| United-Field | Yes | 2,202 | $1.7K |
| Competent-Monasticism | No | 2,200 | $473 |
| Expensive-Struggle | No | 1,931 | $415 |
| Baggy-Completion | Yes | 1,469 | $1.2K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.3% | $75 |
| Oct 22, 04:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 10:44 AM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 01:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.8% | $119 |
| Oct 21, 04:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.6% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 12:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 11:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.7% | $84 |
| Oct 18, 12:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 11:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 78.5%. Next is No at 21.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-before-his-term-ends?via=bro
$113.0K in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 20, 2029, 12:00 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 78.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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