As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 67.0% in Will Trump be impeached by...? — $1.06M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 48.5% and 80.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 67¢ | 67.0% | +4.0 pts | $4.4K | 0.4% |
| June 30, 2027 | 46¢ | 46.0% | -3.0 pts | $1.5K | 0.1% |
| December 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.06M | 99.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.06M has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,111 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soggy-Twig | No | 1,111 | $367 |
| United-Field | Yes | 739 | $495 |
| Fluffy-Millstone | No | 500 | $165 |
| Regular-Slot | Yes | 487 | $326 |
| Aromatic-Carter | Yes | 352 | $236 |
| Elaborate-Formamide | Yes | 125 | $84 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 114 | $38 |
| Stable-Conversation | Yes | 108 | $72 |
| Those-Atheist | No | 88 | $29 |
| mskl | Yes | 85 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 09:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 67.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 46.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026?via=bro
$1.06M in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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