As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? — $13.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: -2.1 pts.
Since November 19, 2025, No has traded between 65.0% and 98.6%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $13.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $13.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 927 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crafty-Cloakroom | No | 927 | $913 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 846 | $833 |
| Tangible-Fuel | Yes | 707 | $11 |
| Tragic-Scorpion | No | 360 | $354 |
| Frugal-Bafflement | Yes | 327 | $5 |
| Second-Seafood | Yes | 283 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $4 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 137 | $2 |
| Ample-Instance | No | 108 | $106 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 90 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 10:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.7% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 10:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.7% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.6% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.7% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-end-department-of-education-before-2027?via=bro
$13.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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