As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.6% in Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? — $87.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -7.0 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since December 22, 2025, No has traded between 51.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
No is favored at 95.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.6% | +0.1 pts | $87.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.4% | -0.1 pts | $87.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$87.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,389 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand | No | 3,389 | $3.2K |
| Belgaron | No | 2,679 | $2.6K |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 2,603 | $115 |
| Handsome-Belfry | Yes | 2,315 | $102 |
| Immediate-Ease | Yes | 1,742 | $77 |
| Vigilant-Railing | No | 1,652 | $1.6K |
| Disguised-Spider | No | 1,357 | $1.3K |
| Best-Dot | Yes | 1,158 | $51 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 970 | $43 |
| Capital-Eviction | No | 863 | $825 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 06:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $26 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 06:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.9% | $38 |
| Oct 21, 06:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.9% | $38 |
| Oct 21, 06:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.9% | $38 |
| Oct 21, 06:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $19 |
| Oct 21, 06:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $453 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.6%. Next is Yes at 4.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-jd-vance-for-president-before-2027?via=bro
$87.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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