As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.0% in Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? — $124.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, No has traded between 57.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 95.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.0% |
No is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.5 pts | $124.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.5 pts | $124.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$124.4K has been traded on this event in total, $302 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,326 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outrageous-Mileage | No | 4,326 | $4.1K |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 3,762 | $3.6K |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 2,099 | $2.0K |
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 1,974 | $99 |
| Immaterial-Advantage | Yes | 1,500 | $75 |
| Unhealthy-Prize | Yes | 1,249 | $62 |
| Victorious-Box | Yes | 959 | $48 |
| Vigorous-Girdle | Yes | 782 | $39 |
| Minty-Maternity | No | 769 | $731 |
| Adventurous-Safari | No | 691 | $656 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 08:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $7 |
| Oct 17, 01:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $190 |
| Oct 15, 07:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.0%. Next is Yes at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-mara-corina-machado-for-venezuela-president-in-2026-314?via=bro
$124.4K in total volume, with $302 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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